Ilyen lett volna az igazságos Trianon? Ezzel a "nemzeti-radikálisok" is elégedettek lettek volna?

Történészi feltételezés arról, hogy alakulhatott volna a Monarchia sorsa, ha nincs 1. világháború:

Even without the First World War, it seems likely that there would have been terrorism and armed conflict as the Austrians and Hungarians fought to hold on to their empires. As i Russia, it is probably that in the 1920s or 1930s, political demands would have led to the end of the rule of the emperor unless Charles I/IV or his son Otto (1912-2011) had been able to develop into being a constitutional monarch. Indeed the monarchy might have then been the only thing keeping together a confederation of states in the region. There would certainly have been greater autonomy given to various nationalities in the empire, notably the Czechs, Poles and Croats living in the Austrian part, but ultimately this would have been insufficient. There were many dreams of such a pattern, but tension between the nationalities was probably too great to allow it to be sustainable. Some states may have developed peacefully, but given the history of the region, it seems more likely that bloody nationality conflicts would have developed in many areas in the 1920s-30s. The shape that the states created would have taken is likely to have been very different to what we have known. However, it seems likely that, despite their differences, the Czechs and Slovaks, and the Slovenes, Croats and Serbs would have worked together, even just in the short term. It is likely that war would have broken out in Hungary and that Romania would have exploited this conflict to its own advantages especially given the numbers of Romanian people living in the East of the Kingdom of Hungary. It seems likely that Hungary would have lost territory, but as with Austria, both states would have probably been far larger than they were in our 20th century history.

Given what we know of the 20th century in the region, it is likely that a patchwork of relatively small states would have appeared, jealous of their territory and antagonistic to their neighbours. This outlook, as happened in the inter-war period in our world would have hampered trade and made economic growth difficult. It also seems probable that many of these states would have come under dictatorships either headed by a military commander or a monarch. In our world, by 1938, Czechoslovakia was the only democracy left in Eastern Europe and it is likely that that political pattern would be no different even if a different set of states certainly of a different shape to what we know had appeared in this alternative.

Szerintem van benne ráció. A nemzetiségi ellentétek, feszültségek kirobbantottak volna konfliktusokat, elszakadás, területi veszteségek elkerülhetetlenek, csak épp nem olyan húsba vágóak, mint a saját világunkban.

#11

a fő probléma a szerbekkel volt nem a csehekkel

11

Azért azt nem szabad elfelejteni,hogy ezek az "ellentétek" nem igazán maguktól alakultak ki.Bizony ez módszeres uszítás eredménye.Nomeg pl. Sopron lakossága is emlékeim szerint csak 40%-ban volt magyar és mégis az országhoz való tartozás mellet döntöttek.

Tehát a monarchia felbomlott volna mindenképpen.De Magyarország még most is egyben lenne.Amennyiben nem gerjesztik fel hosszú"kemény munkával" a nemzetiségeket.

14# Itt kijavítanám kicsit mert Sopronnak és környékének 70%-a volt osztrák és csak 30%-a magyar. Az hogy az ott élő osztrákok többsége lojális maradt Magyarországhoz az annak volt köszönhető hogy akaratlanul is a két nép között a kiegyezés után egyfajta bajtársiasság és rokonszenv alakult ki, mivel mind két nép ebben a szláv tengerben úszott, így barátokként, és egyfajta cinkostársakként (a kisebbségek elnyomása) tekintettek egymásra.

Amúgy Ausztriában ez a rokonszenv a mai napig megvan, mióta Burgenland hozzájuk tartozik egy magyarellenes intézkedést sem hoztak, sőt mindenben támogatták az ott élő magyarságot (saját nyelvű iskola, kétnyelvű utcatáblák stb). Pár éve volt egy közvélemény kutatás és az osztrákok a magyarokat tartják Svájc után a legkedveltebb szomszédjuknak.